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Yasir Mohammed Falih Alkharasani

  


A DATA-DRIVEN MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION-MAKING FRAMEWORK FOR INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANNING IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES *

  


Аннотация:
multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) has turned into a decision support device for coordinating multiple specialized information and partner values in infrastructure the board. Different MCDM procedures and devices have been made. The Iraqi structure enterprises have experienced a large number of snags and troubles. Because of an absence of money, which is clear in the ventures' culmination taking surprisingly lengthy, deserted construction projects are quite possibly of the most common and basic issue in the Iraqi construction area. The objective of this examination is to pick the best type of association agreements to subsidize projects in Iraq utilizing the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) approach. Choosing the main variables for choosing a reasonable money methodology for the unwanted task utilizing a poll review. Using the Cronbach Alpha figured by SPSS programming, the dependability of the survey is laid out   

Ключевые слова:
infrastructure, multi criteria decision making, analytic hierarchy process, construction industry   


  1. INTRODUCTION

Over the last several decades, multi-criteria decision analysis has been used quite often. Its importance in several application fields has substantially expanded, particularly as new approaches are developed and as existing ones are enhanced. To rank the choices, multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) offers a precise strategy for intertwining these contributions with benefit/cost information and decision-producer or partner viewpoints. To assess various game-plans, MCDM is utilized to distinguish and evaluate decision-creator and partner worries about various (fundamentally non-financial) viewpoints. Various scholars guarantee that MCDM might be partitioned into two classes: multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) and multi-objective decision-making (MODM). Nonetheless, the terms MADM and MCDM frequently allude to similar class of models. Techniques like MCDM can possibly make these decisions more straightforward, analytically thorough, and auditable. The performance of alternative choice alternatives is evaluated or ranked using a number of criteria that are commonly quantified using various units.

Infrastructure management was used by both public and commercial organizations to manage and keep their aging and deteriorating infrastructure assets in excellent and usable shape. But because of rising demands, dwindling financial and human resources, and accelerated aging and degradation, sustaining the infrastructure system is more difficult than ever. Increased use and exposure to harmful environmental factors contributed to the rising degradation, and often, infrastructure systems have outlived their intended lifespans. Frameworks for dealing with the infrastructure have demonstrated to find actual success in overcoming any issues between client assumptions and the condition of the infrastructure.

Iraq, one of the United Nations' founding members, has endured protracted wars over the last forty years. As seen by the latest enormous scope youth shows that prompted an adjustment of organization, a developing public doubt in legislative establishments has added to shakiness, viciousness, and a common agreement that is very nearly imploding. Iraq will experience another cycle of instability unless the Iraqi government takes action to carry out significant changes that satisfy the expectations of the Iraqi people.

  • Conceptual Framework

Before the 2018 Kuwait Global Gathering for Reconstruction of Iraq, the World Bank surveyed that how much the destruction achieved by the fight against ISIL to be $88 billion. Not many of the responsibilities made at the Kuwait Worldwide Meeting for the remaking of Iraq have happened for various reasons, making this a suspicious wellspring of subsidizing for future reconstructing.

Iraq could modify or fix this obliterated infrastructure meanwhile utilizing its newfound oil cash, yet financial plan execution for non-oil consumptions, including reconstruction, was at a sad 18%, which is inadequate. From the get-go in 2022, the Service of Arranging made the declaration that no new venture activities will be added to the colossal excess of deficient undertakings. Infrastructure renewal and construction are also hampered by systemic governance issues including wasteful spending and corruption. It is necessary to address immediate repair and restoration, especially of infrastructure that is essential to the provision of fundamental services and economic activity. The UNDP Financing Office for Adjustment's achievements, which remembered 3,060 tasks for the energy, schooling, wellbeing, occupations, district, transport, sewage and water areas, traversing freed regions by December 2021 at an expense of more than $1 billion, act as one model.

  • Infrastructure Needs

For a long time, Iraq has had an extreme lodging deficiency. A deficiency of reasonable land for lodging in metropolitan regions has been exacerbated by partisan viciousness, an absence of chances for work, and commonly low thickness private metropolitan development, which has prompted an expansion in rents and land costs. The World Bank extended that notwithstanding the 2 million lodging shortfall that was accounted for in 2016, 138,000 private designs were obliterated as an outcome of the tactical battle with ISIL. As per gauges, the lodging industry will require uses adding up to around $17.4 billion to address the shortage inheritance and obliteration.

Beside the lodging shortage, different variables adding to the unrestrained development of casual settlements and underserved locales incorporate complex administration frameworks and processes for circulating area for the end goal of lodging, an absence of promptly accessible lodging credits, and obsolete ground breaking strategies for significant urban communities.

Addressing post-conflict housing needs An area-based, multi-sectoral, inclusive, and participatory strategy is required for Iraq. A temporary plan would advise development organizations and NGOs to keep serving the needs of those living in fast reparable partly damaged dwellings. In collaboration with the private sector and commercial institutions, the government should develop a comprehensive plan for how to reconstruct devastated homes in the medium term (two to five years).

ISIL carried out a deliberate iconoclastic campaign throughout its occupancy, which resulted in the destruction of innumerable historical and religious monuments. The once multicultural and cosmopolitan city of Mosul was particularly hard hit. Over 80% of the old city was diminished to turned destruction throughout the span of four years. Neighborhood people group lost their places of love, social exchange, local area trust, discussion, and social cohesiveness because of this fiasco.

With a couple of verifiable locales and 120 old homes, rebuilding and recovery of social resources, including strict legacy, started in the Old City of Mosul in 2019. Over 7,218 historical fragments have so far been found. While work is still being done on the rehabilitation of 75 more homes as well as the rebuilding of all designated landmarks, the rehabilitation of 44 historic homes is almost finished, with the bulk of them having already been returned to their owners.

The restoration of legacy is a multifaceted intercession that goes past the genuine actual reconstruction of milestones. It likewise incorporates exercises to help the restoration of Mosul's social life, like live events, workmanship displays, film creation, supporting social and imaginative businesses, as a method for reestablishing social union, cultivate trust among individuals, and save Iraq's social legacy for people in the future. Support is additionally expected for Iraqi partners in the execution of social shows sanctioned by Iraq, like the 1970 Show against the Illegal Import, Product, and Move of Responsibility for Property and the 2003 Show for the Defending of Immaterial Social Legacy.

Throughout the course of recent years, Iraq's wellbeing framework has seen surprising difficulties and misfortunes. A populace that has lacking admittance to the crucial medical care administrations they need has been abandoned because of infrastructure harm and the departure of many prepared clinical staff. The nation is still recuperating from protracted periods of political unrest and violence while also dealing with significant issues. Despite the hostilities, Iraq's health outcomes have improved somewhat during the previous ten years.

The National Development Plan (NDP) 2018-2022, the Neediness Reduction Technique (PRS), the Reconstruction and Development Structure (2018-2027), and its Vision 2030 are only a couple of the undertakings being dealt with unfamiliar funders and development accomplices that are in accordance with the SDGs.

A National Committee on Sustainable Development (NCSD), managed by the Clergyman of Planning, was entrusted with following the SDGs' advancement and detailing back to a "significant level subsequent gathering" on the development of the nation. Particular subject committees (specialized groups) that attention on the numerous parts of sustainable development help the NCSD's operational exercises.

  • MCDM Approaches

In this part, we've attempted to provide a few succinct remarks on the fundamental concepts behind the different MCDM techniques. The basic explanations of the various techniques will be accompanied by relevant references, which readers may consult for in-depth technical presentations in order to create a self-contained paper. The following MCDM techniques will get the bulk of this discussion's attention:

  • Weighted sum model (WSM)
  • Weighted product model (WPM)
  • Compromise programming (CP)
  • Analytical hierarchy process (AHP)
  • ELECTRE
  • TOPSIS
  • PROMETHEE
  • VIKOR

The numerical components of the MCDM methods mentioned above are comparative in that values are relegated for options for every criterion, multiplied by matching loads, and afterward joined to create a complete score. As far as the points of interest of how criterion values are apportioned and mixed, the frameworks shift enormously. The strategies include particular information or information, and the subsequent scores have different numerical highlights and, consequently, fairly changed values. Users often think that one of the several strategies is best because of the relative advantages and disadvantages of each one. In this part, MCDM approaches are briefly discussed and applied to the topic of infrastructure management.

  • WSM and WPM

WSM is maybe the most utilized methodology, especially for issues with a solitary dimension. The best worth (most noteworthy for all advantage type criteria and least for cost-type criteria) of the weighted all out is what WSM alludes to as the ideal option. In view of the 'added substance utility' assumption, the model is intended for issues where all factors have a similar actual size. Additionally, for legitimate application, the criteria should be all cost-type or all-benefit-type. These elements cause it to seem unsatisfactory for issues that frequently involve many criteria and factors.

WPM and WSM are quite similar. The primary distinction is that weighted parameters are multiplied rather than added together. A series of ratios, one for each criterion, are multiplied to compare one possibility to the others. Every proportion is expanded to a power equivalent to the connected criterion's overall weight. WPM is sometimes referred to as dimensionless analysis since there are no units of measurement in its structure.

 When accurate and complete information is acquired, WSM and WPM procedures may be used and are widely understood. They also perform well when compared to more complicated approaches. Multi-dimensional issues need normalization, which might be seen as a methodological flaw.

  • Compromise Programming

Zeleny (1982) originally created CP, a technique for dealing with issues of a hierarchical nature, and Bardossy, Bogardi, and Duckstein (1985) subsequently expanded it to become composite programming. CP is a member of the category of 'distance-based' multi-criteria analytical approaches. Distance-based methodologies are expected to track down non-ruled solutions that, by some distance metric, are nearest to an optimal solution. The fundamental benefit of this approach is that it has a straightforward conceptual framework. CP may be used to both decision analysis and mathematical programming (design problems).

  • Analytic Hierarchy Process

Saaty (1980) first suggested AHP, which is based on determining preferences or significance weights for the criteria and alternatives. This approach allows for the hierarchical structuring of both the criteria and the options. The fundamental objective of the issue is at the highest point of the hierarchy, trailed by the criteria at the second level and the decisions at the third level.

  • ELECTRE

Benayoun et al. (1966) are credited with fostering the primary ELECTRE strategy (Elimination Et Choix Traduisant la REalite). It is commonly alluded to as "ELECTRE I" on the grounds that few distinct iterations of the ELECTRE strategy were consequently evolved, including ELECTRE II, ELECTRE III, ELECTRE IV, ELECTRE Will be, ELECTRE A (which was created to address a particular decision issue for a huge financial organization however was kept confidential), and ELECTRE TRI. One of them, ELECTRE III, is the most well-known and often used. Although they are operationally relatively similar, all ELECTRE versions are based on the same basic ideas. The foundation of ELECTRE is the notion of outranking relations between alternatives, considered in pairs.

  • TOPSIS

Hwang and Yoon (1981) created the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS), which is an application of a value-based compensating strategy. The TOPSIS technique seeks to choose options that are both closest to the positive ideal solution and the farthest away from the negative ideal solution. While the negative-ideal solution optimizes the cost criterion and decreases the benefit criteria, the positive-ideal solution maximizes the benefit criteria.

  • PROMETHEE

Brans (1982) were quick to make the Inclination Positioning Organization Technique for Advancement Evaluations (PROMETHEE), and Wheats and Vincke (1985) developed it. PROMETHEE is an outclassing approach for positioning and picking among contending criteria a little collection of elective actions. In any event, when clear and valuable information is required, PROMETHEE might be utilized. It depends on contrasting options while considering how every elective digresses from every prerequisite.

  • VIKOR

Opricovic (1998), Opricovic and Tzeng (2002, 2003), what's more, Opricovic were essentially responsible for making the VIKOR strategy. Expecting that compromise can be satisfactory for conflict resolution, this technique is intended to tackle MCDM issues with conflicting and non-commensurable (attributes with various units) criteria. At the point when the decision-creator needs a solution that is as near the ideal solution as could be expected, the options can be assessed by completely settled criteria.

  • Hybrid Methods

Opricovic (1998), Opricovic and Tzeng (2002, 2003), what's more, Opricovic were basically responsible for making the VIKOR procedure. Expecting that compromise can be satisfactory for conflict resolution, this strategy is intended to tackle MCDM issues with conflicting and non-commensurable (attributes with various units) criteria. At the point when the decision-producer needs a solution that is as near the ideal solution as could be expected, the choices can be assessed by totally settled criteria.

  • Types of MCDM Applications

In infrastructure the board, seven various types of MCDM applications have been found:

  • Water resources systems: This involves evaluating strategy choices and creating both short-and long-term well defined courses of action for water assets such stream bowls, watersheds, and dams.
  • Water and wastewater mains: For the administration of drinking or new water, wastewater, or sewage distribution, MCDM is particularly utilized in these examinations.
  • Transportation: These studies focus on paving, highways, rail transportation, and roads.
  • Bridges: These studies focus on the planning, building, upkeep, administration, and evaluation of bridges.
  • Buildings: This involves applying MCDM to resolve issues with structures like elevated structures and multi-lodging edifices.
  • Underground infrastructure: This involves utilizing MCDM to oversee underground infrastructure, including gas and petrol pipelines, passages, and tram frameworks.
  • Others: Applications in metropolitan infrastructure, metropolitan seepage frameworks, seaward treatment facility plants, fundamental infrastructure, and so on are canvassed in these examinations.
  1. LITERATURE REVIEW

Manupati, V. K., Ramkumar, M., &Samanta, D. (2018): In accordance with the Public authority of India's obligation to construct shrewd urban communities, this paper looks to lay out a system for metropolitan rejuvenation for the development of Indian urban areas. We lay out 7 criteria and 27 sub-criteria, for the most part from the writing connected to socio-specialized perspectives, to coordinate practices connected with the board of metropolitan regions and work on approach making decisions and logical investigation in this area. We give a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) strategy in light of the Decision Making Preliminary and Evaluation Research center based Analytic Organization Process (DANP) to deal with the relationships between the chose criterion and sub-criteria.

Erdogan, S. A., Šaparauskas, J., &Turskis, Z. (2019): A suitable model will be developed in this essay. The research's extensive set of criteria was used to develop a construction management decision-making model, which was then used to analyze a case study involving Turkey. Calculations were performed utilizing the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) procedure and the Master Decision PC application. The article rapidly goes through the wording and topic of overseeing construction projects. It portrays how multi-criteria strategies might be utilized to resolve the essential issues in construction the board. One of the critical fixings in each large sustainable task's prosperity is viable administration.

Jena, R., Pradhan, B., &Beydoun, G. (2020): This exploration utilizes an analytical hierarchy process, a VIseKriterijumskaOptimizacija I KompromisnoResenje procedure, and a geographic information framework to dissect the tremor weakness appraisal (EVA) in Banda Aceh. North Sumatra's Banda Aceh City is close to the Incomparable Sumatran Shortcoming. Social, primary, and geotechnical weakness files were made utilizing different factors. By utilizing pair-wise comparison at all levels, the acknowledged philosophies were then consolidated and used to gauge the criteria weight, need requesting, and choices of criteria. To ascertain the seismic weakness file and make the weakness map, weakness layers were at long last layered. The middle region of the city shows high to very high helplessness, as indicated by the outcomes.

Abdullah, A. K., & Alshibani, A. (2022): This paper attempts to give a system to the decision of private accomplices in Saudi Arabia's lodging area under the concept of public-private organization. A system for selection in view of loads and utilities is worked by looking at criteria from a careful writing survey and specialists' contribution through overviews, then fostering additional studies consolidating decision-making strategies like the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and multi-attribute utility theory (MAUT). The discoveries uncovered four classes of criteria — monetary (C1), specialized (C2), administrative (C3), and security/environmental (C4) — as well as their sub-classifications. In view of the specialists' emotional appraisals, the exploration found that the essential elements were genuinely comparative in importance, with the specialized and security/environment criteria tied at 27%, trailed by the administration criteria at 24%, and the monetary criteria at 22%.

Bivina, G. R., &Parida, M. (2020): Involving an analytical hierarchy method to lay out need for some factors that impact walkers' decision of strolling, the flow research works on comprehension of the decision-making process of people on foot. To recognize passerby needs for strolling qualities inside four fundamental criteria — wellbeing, security, solace and convenience, and portability and infrastructure — a questionnaire study was conducted in ten zones of Thiruvananthapuram City (Kerala, India). As indicated by the review, walker infrastructure plan component "Portability and Infrastructure" was not viewed as being as critical by people on foot as "Security," which was. In addition, this study distinguished a likely strategy for assessing the meaning of subjective elements that influence person on foot decision-making. To comprehend people on foot's decision-making process better, the review's outcomes underlined the worth of walker arranged evaluation. These discoveries will help metropolitan planners and different professionals in ordering the criteria characterizing the hierarchy of person on foot prerequisites and allotting assets for passerby conveniences as per the requests and expectations of walkers.

Nguyen, L. C., &Notteboom, T. (2016): In this study, a conceptual framework for the inclusion of several factors in the assessment of the placement of dry ports in developing nations from the viewpoint of various stakeholders is presented. In four phases, we provide the framework. The first phase is doing basic study to screen potential sites for the building of a dry port. The stakeholders are grouped into three categories in the second step: dry port consumers, dry port service providers, and the larger community. Then, we discuss the sub-criteria for dry port site along with the relevant measurement techniques. An explanation of the techniques used to weigh these criteria and sub-criteria is provided in the third stage. The last phase is doing a multi-criteria analysis. 

Askarifar, K., Motaffef, Z., &Aazaami, S. (2018): This research is being done to assess investment potential in the area, to pinpoint the infrastructures that are required, and to encourage entrepreneurial endeavors. By contrasting 22 venture prospects, the strategy positions their probability of being carried out in Mokran utilizing the best-most exceedingly terrible multi-criteria decision technique (BWM) and the opinions of specialists. The expected public infrastructure is then reviewed utilizing TOPSIS into eleven classes. As indicated by the discoveries, the public area's planning needs are infrastructure, security, transportation, sustainable energy, and single-window taxpayer supported organizations. Confidential port destinations, shipping bays, stockrooms, business focuses, and exceptional fisheries regions additionally show guarantee for financial backers.

Amorocho-Daza, H., Cabrales, S., Santos, R., &Saldarriaga, J. (2019): For human social orders to thrive economically and socially reasonably, dependable admittance to clean drinking water is fundamental. To pick amongst possible options for new water supply infrastructure, a multi-criteria decision examination (MCDA) strategy is expected for this work. These options are laid out for an extended lifetime and address considerable monetary assets. This examination laid out a MCDA method that consolidates a hierarchy of non-economic benefits and the expected expenses into an overall record to help decision-making in the context of growing new water supply infrastructure. In the Colombian city of St Nick Marta, our method was utilized. This city desperately needs to build its ability to satisfy the rising water need since it presently has a 60% drinking water shortage. The discoveries of this investigation empower the adoption of the most ideal option for settling St Nick Marta's water supply issue while considering partner interests.

  


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Номер журнала Вестник науки №10 (67) том 3

  


Ссылка для цитирования:

Yasir Mohammed Falih Alkharasani A DATA-DRIVEN MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION-MAKING FRAMEWORK FOR INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANNING IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES // Вестник науки №10 (67) том 3. С. 477 - 498. 2023 г. ISSN 2712-8849 // Электронный ресурс: https://www.вестник-науки.рф/article/10332 (дата обращения: 17.05.2024 г.)


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